000
WTPZ21 KNHC 141630
TCMEP1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062007
1700 UTC SAT JUL 14 2007
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 126.5W AT 14/1700Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 126.5W AT 14/1700Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 126.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 11.5N 128.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 12.0N 130.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 12.5N 132.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 13.0N 135.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 13.5N 138.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 14.0N 140.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 14.5N 143.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.2N 126.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA