000
WTPZ21 KNHC 300833
TCMEP1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP012007
0900 UTC WED MAY 30 2007
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 114.6W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE  50SE  50SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 114.6W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 114.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 13.1N 115.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 13.2N 115.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 13.2N 116.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 13.2N 117.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 13.0N 119.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 12.5N 120.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 11.5N 122.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N 114.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER RHOME