000
WTPA23 PHFO 050832
TCMCP3
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122019
0900 UTC THU SEP 05 2019
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 142.3W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 142.3W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 141.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 11.9N 143.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 11.7N 144.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 11.6N 146.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 11.7N 148.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  10SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 12.7N 152.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 14.0N 158.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 15.5N 165.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.0N 142.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BIRCHARD