000
WTPA22 PHFO 111431
TCMCP2
 
HURRICANE DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  45
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP052023
1500 UTC FRI AUG 11 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 178.1W AT 11/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  965 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  40SE  40SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 150SE 150SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 178.1W AT 11/1500Z
AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 177.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 15.7N 180.0E
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  40SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 16.9N 177.5E
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 25NE  15SE   5SW  25NW.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  20SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 17.8N 175.2E
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 25NE  15SE   5SW  25NW.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 18.3N 173.0E
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT...  5NE   0SE   0SW   5NW.
50 KT... 25NE  10SE   5SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  15SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 18.7N 171.1E
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT... 60NE  20SE  10SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 19.4N 169.4E
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  5NE   0SE   0SW   5NW.
34 KT... 50NE  15SE   5SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 21.0N 167.2E
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 23.5N 166.2E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 178.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER FOSTER/BIRCHARD