000
WTPA22 PHFO 110833
TCMCP2
 
HURRICANE DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  44
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP052023
0900 UTC FRI AUG 11 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 176.3W AT 11/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  961 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  40SE  40SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 150SE 150SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 176.3W AT 11/0900Z
AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 175.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 14.8N 178.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  40SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 16.1N 178.9E
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   5SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  30SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 17.1N 176.5E
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   5SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 17.8N 174.3E
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  15SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 18.1N 172.2E
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   5SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 18.6N 170.2E
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 60NE  20SE  10SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 19.7N 167.2E
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 21.4N 165.5E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 176.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER FOSTER