000
WTPA22 PHFO 100835
TCMCP2
 
HURRICANE DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  40
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP052023
0900 UTC THU AUG 10 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 169.8W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  19 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  950 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 150SE 150SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 169.8W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 168.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 12.6N 172.4W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  40SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 13.7N 175.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   5SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 14.9N 178.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   5SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 16.1N 178.2E
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   5SE   5SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  15SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 16.9N 175.5E
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE   5SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 17.4N 173.1E
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT... 60NE  20SE  15SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 18.3N 168.3E
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 20.0N 164.0E
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.1N 169.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER FOSTER/BIRCHARD