000
WTPA22 PHFO 081430
TCMCP2
 
HURRICANE DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP052023
1500 UTC TUE AUG 08 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 156.1W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  19 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  953 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  50SE  50SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..650NE 150SE  80SW 425NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 156.1W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 155.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 11.4N 159.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  25SE  25SW  45NW.
34 KT... 85NE  45SE  40SW  85NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 11.5N 163.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 85NE  40SE  40SW  85NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 11.9N 166.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 35NE  20SE  20SW  35NW.
34 KT... 85NE  40SE  40SW  85NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 12.5N 170.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  35SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 13.5N 173.9W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  35SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 14.7N 177.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  30SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 16.9N 177.0E
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 18.5N 171.5E
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.5N 156.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA