593 
WTPA22 PHFO 080231
TCMCP2
 
HURRICANE DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP052023
0300 UTC TUE AUG 08 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 152.3W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT  20 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  953 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 150SE  75SW 390NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 152.3W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 151.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 12.0N 155.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 12.0N 158.9W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  40SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 12.3N 162.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   5SE   5SW  15NW.
50 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 12.8N 166.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   5SE   5SW  15NW.
50 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 13.3N 170.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 14.2N 174.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 16.3N 179.5E
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 18.5N 173.5E
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.0N 152.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER M BALLARD/BIRCHARD