744 
WTPA21 PHFO 171430
TCMCP1
 
TROPICAL STORM CALVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP032023
1500 UTC MON JUL 17 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 141.4W AT 17/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  50SE  40SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE  90SE  90SW 190NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 141.4W AT 17/1500Z
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 140.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 17.1N 144.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 17.4N 147.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  30SE  30SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 17.8N 151.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  30SE  30SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 18.4N 155.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  20SE  20SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 19.0N 158.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 19.7N 162.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 141.4W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 PHFO/HFOTCPCP1...AT 17/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON