000
WTNT25 KNHC 170240
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM NIGEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152023
0300 UTC SUN SEP 17 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N  48.0W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N  48.0W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N  47.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 23.6N  49.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  40SE  30SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 25.3N  50.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 26.7N  52.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 27.8N  54.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 29.4N  55.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 31.3N  56.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  90SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 36.0N  55.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 41.9N  47.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.0N  48.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN