000
WTNT25 KNHC 311456
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM IDALIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102023
1500 UTC THU AUG 31 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N  75.8W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE   0SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......180NE 160SE 150SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..160NE 200SE 160SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N  75.8W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.7N  77.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 33.6N  73.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE   0SE  30SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 130SE 150SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 32.8N  70.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...190NE 120SE 170SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 31.7N  68.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...170NE  40SE  50SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 31.1N  67.3W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE   0SE   0SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 31.1N  66.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...140NE  40SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 31.8N  65.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...140NE  90SE  40SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 34.3N  62.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 37.0N  61.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.6N  75.8W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 31/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG