851 
WTNT25 KNHC 310247
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM IDALIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102023
0300 UTC THU AUG 31 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.0N  80.0W AT 31/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT  18 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT.......140NE 180SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.0N  80.0W AT 31/0300Z
AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.7N  80.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 33.9N  77.4W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 180SE  90SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 33.9N  73.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 140SE 140SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 33.2N  70.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...180NE  70SE 130SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 32.3N  69.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...170NE  70SE  80SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 31.6N  68.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE   0SE  40SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 31.4N  67.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...140NE   0SE  30SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 32.0N  65.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 33.5N  63.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.0N  80.0W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 31/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH