000
WTNT25 KNHC 291453
TCMAT5
 
HURRICANE IDALIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102023
1500 UTC TUE AUG 29 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N  84.8W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR   5 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  976 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT.......100NE 140SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 150SE  60SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N  84.8W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.8N  84.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 26.5N  84.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 29.3N  83.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 150SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 31.8N  81.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 140SE  50SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 33.5N  78.8W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 120SE  70SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 34.1N  75.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 33.8N  73.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...140NE  60SE  90SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 32.5N  70.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 32.0N  68.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.6N  84.8W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 29/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG