000
WTNT25 KNHC 270856
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102023
0900 UTC SUN AUG 27 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N  86.8W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH OR 180 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N  86.8W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N  86.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 20.1N  86.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 20NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 20.6N  86.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  60SE  30SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 21.7N  86.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  90SE  50SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 23.3N  86.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT... 70NE 100SE  70SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 25.7N  85.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE 140SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 28.5N  84.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE 130SE  70SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 33.0N  81.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 35.0N  75.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N  86.8W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 27/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE