000
WTNT25 KNHC 181444
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM DON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052023
1500 UTC TUE JUL 18 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.6N  39.3W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OR 165 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE   0SE  70SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 120SE 150SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.6N  39.3W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.0N  39.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 34.6N  39.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE   0SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 33.9N  39.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE   0SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 33.7N  40.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 34.0N  41.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 34.7N  43.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 35.7N  45.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 39.0N  49.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 44.0N  49.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.6N  39.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE