000
WTNT25 KNHC 032036
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM GAMMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL252020
2100 UTC SAT OCT 03 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING NORTH OF PUNTA ALLEN TO CANCUN MEXICO...
INCLUDING COZUMEL...AND DISCONTINUED ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS FROM
PUNTA ALLEN SOUTHWARD.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH AND WEST OF PUNTA ALLEN TO DZILAM MEXICO...INCLUDING COZUMEL
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST OF DZILAM TO PROGRESO MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N  87.7W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE   0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N  87.7W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N  87.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 21.3N  88.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 22.0N  88.2W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  30SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 22.1N  88.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE  40SE  20SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 22.0N  89.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE  40SE  40SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 21.6N  90.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  40SE  40SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 21.0N  91.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  40SE  40SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 20.0N  92.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 20.0N  93.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N  87.7W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 04/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH