000
WTNT25 KNHC 210251
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM SEBASTIEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL202019
0300 UTC THU NOV 21 2019
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N  61.5W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......100NE 140SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE  30SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N  61.5W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N  61.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 23.3N  60.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 140SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 25.5N  57.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 140SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 28.0N  53.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  60SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 140SE  90SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 31.0N  49.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 140SE  90SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 37.0N  38.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 150SE 120SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.2N  61.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE