000
WTNT25 KNHC 221441
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102019
1500 UTC SUN SEP 22 2019
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JERRY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N  66.6W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  90SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE  75SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N  66.6W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.3N  66.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 26.9N  67.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 28.2N  67.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 29.5N  67.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 31.0N  68.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...140NE 150SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 35.0N  63.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 110SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 40.0N  54.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 45.0N  45.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.7N  66.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH