000
WTNT25 KNHC 300853
TCMAT5
 
HURRICANE DORIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052019
0900 UTC FRI AUG 30 2019
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF DORIAN.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N  69.1W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N  69.1W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N  68.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 24.8N  70.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 25.6N  72.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 26.1N  73.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 26.4N  75.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 26.7N  78.3W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 26.9N  80.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 28.1N  81.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N  69.1W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 30/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG