000
WTNT25 KNHC 271438
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM DORIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052019
1500 UTC TUE AUG 27 2019
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISUSED A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FROM ISLA SAONA TO SAMANA.
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR ST. VINCENT AND
THE GRENADINES.  THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED
FOR GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA TO SAMANA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MARTINIQUE
* PUERTO RICO
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA TO SAMANA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICA
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA TO PUNTA PALENQUE
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM SAMANA TO PUERTO PLATA
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN THE VIRGIN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
DORIAN.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  61.8W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE  30SE  15SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  61.8W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  61.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 15.2N  63.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 16.5N  65.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 17.9N  67.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 19.5N  69.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 22.8N  72.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 25.6N  76.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 27.8N  80.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N  61.8W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 27/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART