195 
WTNT25 KNHC 160232
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM JOYCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102018
0300 UTC SUN SEP 16 2018
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.4N  38.0W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  80 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 120SE  60SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.4N  38.0W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.3N  38.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 34.5N  35.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 34.5N  32.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 34.5N  29.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 33.5N  27.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 31.0N  27.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.4N  38.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA