000
WTNT25 KNHC 151457
TCMAT5
 
HURRICANE NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  46
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
1500 UTC SAT OCT 15 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.0N  50.3W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  75 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  960 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT.......  0NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
50 KT.......180NE 120SE 150SW 150NW.
34 KT.......210NE 210SE 270SW 270NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 450SE 600SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.0N  50.3W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.9N  50.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 39.3N  48.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
50 KT...180NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 270SW 270NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 39.4N  47.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  90SE  90SW  60NW.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 180NW.
34 KT...300NE 270SE 270SW 330NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 39.8N  45.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
50 KT...120NE 150SE 150SW 180NW.
34 KT...330NE 300SE 300SW 360NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 41.1N  44.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 150SE 150SW 120NW.
34 KT...330NE 330SE 300SW 270NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 47.5N  39.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 180SE 150SW  60NW.
34 KT...360NE 360SE 300SW 270NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 56.5N  35.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 64.5N  32.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.0N  50.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN