000
WTNT25 KNHC 131453
TCMAT5

HURRICANE NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  38
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
1500 UTC THU OCT 13 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.3N  64.6W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  961 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  55SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......130NE 160SE 110SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 210SE 420SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.3N  64.6W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.6N  65.2W

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 33.8N  62.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  55SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 170SE 120SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 35.5N  58.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE 100SW  90NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 150SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 37.0N  54.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE 120SE 100SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 200SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 38.3N  51.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 130NW.
34 KT...270NE 270SE 270SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 39.0N  48.7W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 140SW 180NW.
34 KT...340NE 240SE 310SW 380NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 39.0N  47.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 41.0N  44.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.3N  64.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN