000
WTNT25 KNHC 072034
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
2100 UTC FRI OCT 07 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N  65.2W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH OR 185 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  40SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N  65.2W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.2N  65.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 26.2N  65.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 25.4N  64.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 25.1N  64.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 25.5N  65.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 27.4N  66.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 29.7N  66.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 32.6N  66.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.0N  65.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN