000
WTNT25 KNHC 131443
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM IAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102016
1500 UTC TUE SEP 13 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N  52.3W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......200NE 140SE   0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 210SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N  52.3W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.8N  52.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 27.3N  53.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...200NE 140SE   0SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 29.9N  53.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...180NE 120SE   0SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 32.6N  53.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 100SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 35.5N  52.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 44.0N  42.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  50SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 54.0N  28.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 62.0N  13.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.4N  52.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH