000
WTNT25 KNHC 121441
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM IAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102016
1500 UTC MON SEP 12 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N  50.4W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......120NE   0SE   0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 210SE   0SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N  50.4W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.4N  50.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 23.4N  51.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...150NE   0SE   0SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 25.4N  52.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...150NE  40SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 27.3N  53.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE  40SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 29.7N  54.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...130NE  80SE  30SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 34.5N  53.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...130NE  80SE  30SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 42.5N  45.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 53.0N  32.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.8N  50.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH