000
WTNT25 KNHC 060242
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052016
0300 UTC SAT AUG 06 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
EAST OF ROCA PARTIDO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ROCA PARTIDO NORTHWARD TO TECOLUTLA...MEXICO.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N  95.9W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......100NE  70SE  30SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N  95.9W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  95.6W

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 19.0N  96.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  40SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 19.0N  97.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED INLAND

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N  95.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART