000
WTNT25 KNHC 171431
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052013
1500 UTC SAT AUG 17 2013
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N  35.7W AT 17/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  50SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N  35.7W AT 17/1500Z
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  35.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 20.5N  37.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 21.1N  39.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 21.8N  41.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 22.6N  43.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 25.0N  47.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 28.5N  50.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.8N  35.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI