000
WTNT25 KNHC 090852
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM NATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152011
0900 UTC FRI SEP 09 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM CHILITEPEC TO CELESTUN
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM CELESTUN TO PROGRESO
 
ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE WESTERN GULF
COAST OF MEXICO LATER TODAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N  92.3W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N  92.3W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N  92.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 20.3N  92.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 75NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 20.7N  93.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 75NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 20.8N  94.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 20.9N  95.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 20.5N  97.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 20.0N 100.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N  92.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN