000
WTNT25 KNHC 031449
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052011
1500 UTC WED AUG 03 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO AND HOLGUIN IN EASTERN CUBA.
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA HAS
BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
* HAITI
* SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS AND TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* GUANTANAMO AND HOLGUIN PROVINCES IN EASTERN CUBA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  69.7W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  69.7W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  68.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 17.5N  71.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 19.0N  73.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 21.0N  75.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 23.0N  76.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 26.6N  78.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 30.5N  78.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 34.1N  72.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N  69.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA