000
WTNT25 KNHC 030235
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052011
0300 UTC WED AUG 03 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS AND TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
* THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
* HAITI
* SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS AND TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N  66.7W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......105NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N  66.7W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  66.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 17.0N  68.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT...105NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 18.4N  70.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...105NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 20.2N  72.6W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 22.0N  74.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 26.0N  77.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 29.5N  78.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 33.0N  76.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N  66.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN