000
WTNT25 KNHC 172031
TCMAT5
HURRICANE OMAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152008
2100 UTC FRI OCT 17 2008

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N  53.6W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT  25 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  45SE   0SW  45NW.
34 KT.......100NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N  53.6W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.2N  54.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 32.9N  52.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE   0SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 34.9N  49.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE   0SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 36.5N  47.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 38.0N  44.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE   0SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 39.5N  39.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  45SE   0SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 39.5N  34.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z...ABSORBED BY LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.2N  53.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART