000 WTNT25 KNHC 191428 TCMAT5 HURRICANE DANNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052003 1500Z SAT JUL 19 2003 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.4N 46.8W AT 19/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 25NW. 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.4N 46.8W AT 19/1500Z AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 42.1N 47.8W FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 43.1N 43.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 30SE 30SW 25NW. 34 KT... 50NE 75SE 75SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 43.0N 40.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 75SE 75SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 41.5N 38.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 39.0N 37.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 36.5N 37.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 34.5N 40.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 33.5N 44.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 42.4N 46.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z FORECASTER AVILA