000
WTNT24 KNHC 162046
TCMAT4

HURRICANE HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092019
2100 UTC MON SEP 16 2019

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
BERMUDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N  75.9W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  70 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......110NE 130SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N  75.9W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.1N  76.2W

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 30.4N  74.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 30.8N  73.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 31.2N  71.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 32.0N  68.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 36.0N  61.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 210NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 40.1N  59.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 41.7N  54.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.2N  75.9W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 17/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART