000
WTNT24 KNHC 230251
TCMAT4
 
TROPICAL STORM LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142017
0300 UTC SAT SEP 23 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N  49.0W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR   5 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N  49.0W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.2N  49.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 32.2N  48.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 32.5N  47.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 32.4N  46.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 32.1N  45.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 31.3N  43.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 30.0N  42.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 29.5N  43.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.5N  49.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY