000
WTNT24 KNHC 210834
TCMAT4
 
TROPICAL STORM MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142013
0900 UTC THU NOV 21 2013
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.1N  38.5W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  65 DEGREES AT  28 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 210SE 150SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 420SE 520SW 400NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.1N  38.5W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.4N  40.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 40.2N  33.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 200SE 150SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 41.5N  27.7W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 180SE 150SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 42.2N  22.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 42.2N  19.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...240NE 150SE  60SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 40.0N  16.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.1N  38.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI