000
WTNT24 KNHC 240843
TCMAT4
 
TROPICAL STORM TONY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL192012
0900 UTC WED OCT 24 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N  47.9W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  60SE  40SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N  47.9W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.1N  48.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 28.5N  45.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE  30SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 29.7N  42.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE  30SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 30.7N  38.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE  30SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 31.9N  35.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  90SE  30SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 36.0N  33.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  30SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.4N  47.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS