000
WTNT24 KNHC 231431
TCMAT4
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL192012
1500 UTC TUE OCT 23 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N  51.0W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N  51.0W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.3N  51.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 26.7N  50.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 27.8N  48.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 28.5N  45.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 29.5N  43.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  70SE  60SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 32.5N  37.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  60SE  30SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 38.0N  33.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.7N  51.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG