000
WTNT24 KNHC 222032
TCMAT4
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL192012
2100 UTC MON OCT 22 2012
 
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N  51.7W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N  51.7W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.8N  51.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 23.7N  51.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 25.4N  51.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 26.7N  49.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE  60SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 27.7N  47.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  90SE  80SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 30.0N  40.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  80SE  60SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 33.5N  34.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N  51.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG