000
WTNT24 KNHC 151448
TCMAT4
 
HURRICANE NADINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142012
1500 UTC SAT SEP 15 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N  49.9W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  70 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE  80SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 240SE 210SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N  49.9W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.8N  50.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 31.0N  47.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  40SE  10SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 30.9N  44.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  40SE  20SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  70SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 170SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 31.0N  40.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  40SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  70SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 170SE 110SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 31.7N  37.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 170SE 120SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 34.0N  33.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 160SE 130SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 36.5N  31.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 37.0N  31.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.9N  49.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG