000 WTNT24 KNHC 241454 TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012 1500 UTC FRI AUG 24 2012 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...AND VILLA CLARA. THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR. THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS AND CIENFUEGOS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * HAITI A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * DOMINICAN REPUBLIC * HAITI * CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...VILLA CLARA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...HOLGUIN...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GUANTANAMO * THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR * SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...LONG CAY...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS * TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS AND CIENFUEGOS * ANDROS ISLAND * JAMAICA A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS THE REMAINDER OF CUBA...THE REMAINDER OF THE BAHAMAS... SOUTH FLORIDA...AND THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ISAAC. WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA KEYS OR THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 70.8W AT 24/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......160NE 90SE 60SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..490NE 90SE 60SW 490NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 70.8W AT 24/1500Z AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 70.4W FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 17.4N 72.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...160NE 120SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 19.2N 75.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...160NE 120SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 20.9N 77.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...160NE 120SE 40SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 22.3N 79.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...160NE 120SE 40SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 25.0N 83.0W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 40SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 28.0N 85.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 31.0N 86.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 70.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN