000
WTNT24 KNHC 121435
TCMAT4
 
TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142011
1500 UTC MON SEP 12 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N  67.3W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......175NE 100SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 120SE  90SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N  67.3W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N  67.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 21.1N  68.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...175NE  90SE   0SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 22.6N  69.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE  90SE   0SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 24.5N  69.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 26.5N  69.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 34.0N  67.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...170NE 150SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 43.5N  57.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 54.0N  39.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N  67.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN