000
WTNT24 KNHC 102032
TCMAT4
 
TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142011
2100 UTC SAT SEP 10 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO
RICO...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  62.4W AT 10/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......175NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE   0SE   0SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  62.4W AT 10/2100Z
AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  62.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 19.0N  63.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...175NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 20.6N  65.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...175NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 21.9N  67.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE  90SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 22.9N  68.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...125NE  90SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 25.5N  70.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE  45SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 30.0N  70.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 37.5N  65.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N  62.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN