000
WTNT24 KNHC 101457
TCMAT4
 
TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142011
1500 UTC SAT SEP 10 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
NONE
 
INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF MARIA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  61.5W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......175NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE   0SE   0SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  61.5W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N  61.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 18.4N  63.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 19.9N  64.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 21.4N  66.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 22.7N  68.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...125NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 24.9N  70.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...125NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 29.0N  71.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 36.0N  68.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N  61.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN