000
WTNT24 KNHC 082050
TCMAT4
 
TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142011
2100 UTC THU SEP 08 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...AND SAINT
KITTS
* ST BARTHELEMY...ST MARTEEN...GUADELOUPE...AND MARTINIQUE
* DOMINICA
* ST.MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N  52.7W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  18 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......150NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N  52.7W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N  51.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 13.4N  55.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...150NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 14.0N  58.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 15.5N  61.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 17.0N  63.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 20.0N  68.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 23.0N  72.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 25.5N  75.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N  52.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA