000
WTNT24 KNHC 071457
TCMAT4
 
TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142011
1500 UTC WED SEP 07 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N  42.0W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  20 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N  42.0W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  41.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 13.5N  45.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 14.0N  49.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 14.5N  53.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 15.5N  56.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 17.5N  62.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 20.0N  66.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 23.0N  70.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N  42.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA