000 WTNT24 KNHC 280838 TCMAT4 HURRICANE IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011 0900 UTC SUN AUG 28 2011 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE HURRICANE WARNING SOUTH OF OCRACOKE INLET NORTH CAROLINA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM OCRACOKE INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO CHINCOTEAGUE VIRGINIA...INCLUDING PAMLICO...ALBEMARLE...AND CURRITUCK SOUNDS AND CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF DRUM POINT HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CHINCOTEAGUE VIRGINIA NORTHWARD TO SAGAMORE BEACH MASSACHUSETTS... INCLUDING DELAWARE BAY...NEW YORK CITY...LONG ISLAND...LONG ISLAND SOUND...COASTAL CONNECTICUT AND RHODE ISLAND...BLOCK ISLAND... MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * OCRACOKE INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO CHINCOTEAGUE VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO...ALBEMARLE...AND CURRITUCK SOUNDS...CHESAPEAKE BAY AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC * NORTH OF SAGAMORE BEACH TO EASTPORT MAINE * UNITED STATES/CANADA BORDER NORTHEASTWARD TO FORT LAWRENCE INCLUDING GRAND MANAN * SOUTH COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA FROM FORT LAWRENCE TO PORTERS LAKE INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN EASTERN CANADA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRENE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.2N 74.5W AT 28/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 958 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT.......110NE 110SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT.......150NE 150SE 80SW 30NW. 34 KT.......230NE 280SE 160SW 110NW. 12 FT SEAS..460NE 460SE 400SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.2N 74.5W AT 28/0900Z AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.1N 75.0W FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 41.8N 73.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 80SW 30NW. 34 KT...250NE 300SE 160SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 46.0N 70.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 180SE 30SW 15NW. 34 KT...180NE 360SE 160SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 50.6N 66.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...180NE 360SE 100SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 54.0N 59.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 330SE 250SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 58.0N 44.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 330SE 330SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 61.0N 31.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 62.0N 28.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.2N 74.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN