000
WTNT24 KNHC 241438
TCMAT4
 
HURRICANE IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092011
1500 UTC WED AUG 24 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE SOUTHEASTERN...CENTRAL...AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
 
INTERESTS IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRENE.
 
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N  73.9W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  956 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE  40SE  25SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  60SE  45SW  80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 150SE  90SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 240SE 120SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N  73.9W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N  73.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 23.4N  74.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  25SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  60SE  45SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE  90SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 25.1N  76.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  45SE  25SW  45NW.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 27.2N  76.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  45SE  25SW  45NW.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...190NE 150SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 29.3N  77.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...190NE 160SE 110SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 33.2N  76.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 170SE 120SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 38.5N  73.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 45.0N  69.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.4N  73.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN