000
WTNT24 KNHC 131440
TCMAT4
HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  50
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092008
1500 UTC SAT SEP 13 2008
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM EAST OF SARGENT
TEXAS EASTWARD TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA HAS BEEN REPLACED BY A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
 
AT 10 AM CDT...THE HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FROM
SARGENT TEXAS WESTWARD ALONG THE CENTRAL TEXAS COAST.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N  95.3W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  964 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  40SE  25SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 65NE  85SE  55SW  45NW.
34 KT.......125NE 200SE 125SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 425SE 150SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N  95.3W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.3N  95.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 33.2N  95.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 100SE  60SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 36.7N  92.3W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 40.6N  86.2W...EXTRATROPICAL INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 44.5N  77.2W...EXTRATROPICAL INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL ZONE
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.0N  95.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART