000
WTNT24 KNHC 130235
TCMAT4
HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  48
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092008
0300 UTC SAT SEP 13 2008
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO
NORTH OF PORT ARANSAS TEXAS. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
REACH THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PORT ARANSAS TO
PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT
FROM EAST OF MORGAN CITY TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...
INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.6N  94.4W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  952 MB
EYE DIAMETER  40 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT.......110NE  90SE  55SW  75NW.
50 KT.......160NE 160SE  80SW 100NW.
34 KT.......240NE 200SE 150SW 170NW.
12 FT SEAS..425NE 425SE 270SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.6N  94.4W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.3N  94.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 30.3N  95.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT...100NE 150SE 100SW  60NW.
34 KT...175NE 200SE 150SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 33.2N  95.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  90SE  50SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 36.6N  92.3W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 40.5N  86.0W...EXTRATROPICAL INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL ZONE INLAND
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.6N  94.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART